Fantasy Premier League Strikers – Who To Choose?
Perhaps the biggest decision that will define the start of your Fantasy Premier League season is who you choose in your strike force. Price rises, new players, pre-season form and last season’s form will all be determining factors in who you give those coveted 3 squad places to and this season promises to make the decision more difficult than ever!
The first question is how much to spend between the three strikers that you plan on selecting and that is a question that can only really be answered by the individual manager…. But there are a few considerations to bear in mind whilst you ponder your answer. Historically, strikers usually outperform midfielders with the exception of the occasional ‘one standout midfielder’ – last year’s of course being Riyad Mahrez. With the exception of the Leicester City man, no midfielders scored more points than Jamie Vardy or Harry Kane (the top two FPL forwards) and players that did not adopt these players from an early stage in the season were found wanting towards the end. There are two things to consider here – one is that form has to be take seriously and acted upon quickly and the other is that the most expensive players are not always the highest scoring.
As a general rule, we would argue that you are going to spend in the region of £26m-£29m on your three strikers – but that is probably the top end of what you might expect to spend. This is going to mean that you are going to struggle to get more than 2 real premium midfielders in your team if you want to have balance from the goalkeeper all the way through to the strikers.
The age old question:
Do I need Aguero in my FPL team
Comes back to haunt us again. Add to that the attacking prowess of Ibrahimovic at Man Utd, last seasons exploits of Harry Kane and Jamie Vardy in the Premier League, Burnley’s Andre Gray who scored 23 goals in the Championship and a whole host of other players who had excellent Premier League seasons and the decision of who to pick in your FPL team is almost impossible.
The truth is that most of these questions won’t be answered until the first ball is kicked in August, and some of them won’t be answered until well in to September. Will Ibrahimovic be able to score prolifically in the Premier League? Will Andre Gray be able to replicate his Championship form in the English top flight and will Jamie Vardy and Harry Kane put poor European Championships behind them and recapture the domestic form that propelled their respective clubs in to the top 4 last season? So much remains to be answered – but we will do our best to assess the options here.
Sergio Aguero - £13m
The Manchester City hitman has already returned to scoring form in pre-season and an opening day home game against a Big Samless Sunderland side looks mouth watering for fans of the biggest scoring Premier League striker of recent years. You don’t become the most expensive FPL player for no reason and although £13m might be a rich price tag, it is one that most of us were prepared to shell out last season.
Despite his price, Aguero perhaps represents the least risk as his pedigree is up there with the best in the world and he is one player that has no question marks over his ability to continue to score goals. The only real question mark is over his ability to stay injury free but with Pep at the helm, we expect fitness to improve throughout the Man City camp and his goals to increase. For us, he has to be the first name on your team sheet.
Harry Kane - £11m
25 goals last season and 21 goals the season before sees Harry Kane as one of the most exciting attacking prospects in the Premier League. With Janssen joining Spurs it will give Pochettino the option to rest Kane a little more as they try to push on in the Champions League. That being said, we still see the Englishman being the main man for Tottenham as they look to finish even higher in the league this season. At £11m, if you take Kane then you are 100% going to have to make serious compromises elsewhere – it could be a strategy that pays off but there could be more value to be found elsewhere.
Jamie Vardy - £10m
Snubbing Arsenal was a massive decision in the crazy journey that has been Jamie Vardy’s life so far. A price tag of £10m will test the most ardent of his supporters and it remains to be seen if last season’s joint best FPL striker has the consistency to perform at the same level. Out of Vardy and Kane we would prefer the latter just because he has two solid seasons behind him. If Mahrez does leave Leicester then Vardy is too steep a price to risk – but if he stays, history could well repeat itself in terms of FPL managers catching out other FPL managers by being early Vardy adopters.
Romelu Lukaku - £9m
Another player who had an excellent season before fizzling out a little towards the end of the 2015/16 campaign was Lukaku. At just £9m the Everton man could be a snip given that he scored 18 goals last season and assisted 7. Everton have looked pretty impressive in early pre-season under new manager Ronald Koeman and if he does stay at the Toffees he could be a top forward pick. It may well be a watch this space sort of situation for now and with Everton having a tough opening few games we might just want to do a little more scouting on him first.
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